Governor Survey Results Breakdown

I did a series of posts on my own blog in May about governor approval ratings, breaking them down by legislature partisanship, 2004 Presidential winner, region, and swing state status.

I completely missed the June results, but the ones for July are out now, and I thought I'd revisit these divisions to see how they are holding up.

The first thing to note is that the general trend has been negative for Democrats and positive for Republicans.  While we are still ahead overall, our average net difference is now down from about 3 points to about .75 points.

The trends though are basically the same.

(All comparisons are party to party unless otherwise stated.)

Republicans are still more popular in the midwest (11% to -3%) and northeast (13% to 0%), Democrats are still way more popular in the south (21% to 2%), the mountain west still loves everyone (28% to 27%) and the west coast still hates everyone (-10% to -25%, in the only comparison where Democrats gained in July).

Here's a graph of this whole trend:
governor region graph.gif

Democrats still did phenominally better in Bush states (21%) than they are in Kerry states (-5%).  Republicans, on the other hand, are still about the same in both (8% and 9%).

Both parties are still much more popular outside of swing states (17% D, 12% R) than they are in them (-2% D, -4% R).

Still nothing really exciting to say about state legislatures.

I didn't make much of an attempt at analysis back then, but these surveys confirm one pretty significant finding - southern Democrats are ridiculously more popular than southern Republicans.  You can't really chalk it up to temperment of the population as you can with the west; there is something really significant here.

I know in Iowa a lot of Democrats are of the view that southerners have some sort of complex where they are only willing to vote for other southerners.  It seems to me that there is a lot more to it than simple regional prejudice.

It could just be that by the nature of the political terrain southern Democrats are forced to be more moderate while southern Republicans are able to live out their wild-eyed anti-American fantasies.  I'd venture that this plays a part, but it is still hard to explain how someone like Bob Riley, a relatively moderate Republican, has such high negatives as compared to Democrats with not-too-different ideologies.

I don't have all the answers, but I think some discussion on the issue would be healthy.  Any thoughts from you, dear readers?

(If you find this diary helpful and/or are interested in Iowa progressive politics, check out my blog at http://blog.drewmiller.net.)



Display:


They seek to control the debate (none / 0)

by farming the wild eyed groups, and finding
out how far it can all go.

If the infrastructure is such that the
spectacle is the thing, what you will end
up seeing in 2006 is the official end
of the democratic party.

The party is NOT in good shape anywhere
on the map.

by turnerbroadcasting on Thu Jul 14, 2005 at 05:14:02 AM EST

Re: They seek to control the debate (none / 0)

PS - the way to go about doing
this the right way is to use the grassroots
and find local areas of protection
even inside red states and using them
to weaken and distract the wild eyed
fanatics - if the country goes back
to a moderate view, it becomes interested
in facts, and then you're going to
be all for it. you have to counter the
idea that you're going to be creating
a huge advertising campaign payout for
the dead medium of television as well...
make it clear that the blogosphere
is it - really take chances, or you're gone.
by turnerbroadcasting on Thu Jul 14, 2005 at 05:15:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: They seek to control the debate (none / 0)

I'm not sure why you say that when our southern Democrats are so successful given such ideologically hostile terrain.  Maybe we need to learn some lessons from them?
Bleeding Heartland - Iowa's Progressive Community-oriented blog
by ItsDrewMiller on Thu Jul 14, 2005 at 05:25:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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